Four Fridays from now the first round of the 2013 NFL draft will be in the books.
We aren't going to know what the NFL's decision makers really think of this year's quarterback class until those picks are made April 25.
Some of those folks say they like some passers on this draft board, and they don't like others. But there is no consensus other than the desperation is so great for passers capable of winning the big trophy that two, three or maybe more quarterbacks will be taken in that opening round.
While there is room for plenty of reasoned debate about who does — or doesn't — deserve one of those opening-round selections, there is no debate that the people making those decisions have their jobs in the balance if they take the wrong quarterback.
Look at the 2006 through 2009 drafts, which would include players entering their fifth through eighth pro seasons in 2013, essentially the prime years for your franchise passers. The tendency is to look at what happened to the quarterbacks involved, but how they turned out affects the job security of those drafting them.
Three quarterbacks were selected in the first round of the 2006 draft — Vince Young at No. 3, Matt Leinart at No. 10 and Jay Cutler at No. 11. None of the men who picked those three QBs for the Tennessee Titans, Arizona Cardinals and Broncos, respectively, are still on the job with those teams.
And none of the three quarterbacks are with those teams. Young is trying to get back into the league, having just made an appearance at Texas' pro day.
Two quarterbacks were selected in the first round of the 2007 draft — JaMarcus Russell at No. 1 and Brady Quinn at No. 22.
None of the people who made those picks are still on the job and neither quarterback is with the team that selected him. Russell is regarded as one of the biggest busts in NFL draft history and is out of the league.
The 2008 draft provided a bit of a reprieve with Matt Ryan at No. 3 to the Atlanta Falcons and Joe Flacco at No. 18 to the Baltimore Ravens. Ryan has been a two-time Pro Bowl selection and has directed his team to four postseason appearances.
Falcons general manager Thomas Dimitroff has the coin flipped for Atlanta to get that No. 3 pick that year encased in a display box on his desk. He and coach Mike Smith are still going strong on the job.
Flacco has been to the postseason in all five of his seasons, including a memorable run through the 2012 playoffs that concluded with a Super Bowl victory in New Orleans. Ozzie New- some continues to cruise along as Baltimore's top football decision maker and might be the best general manager in the league.
Three quarterbacks were selected in the first round of the 2009 draft — Matthew Stafford at No. 1, Mark Sanchez at No. 5 and Josh Freeman at No. 17.
Stafford has put up a pile of passing numbers — back-to-back 4,900-yard seasons — but he's only 17-28 as a starter for a Detroit team that is in many ways still climbing out of a winless 2008 season.
The folks who presided over Sanchez's selection in New York are no longer on the job, and Sanchez might be the most scrutinized and criticized quarterback in the league.
While general manager Mark Dominik, who selected Freeman, still is in place at Tampa Bay, former head coach Raheem Morris was fired after the 2011 season. Greg Schiano, who was hired as Morris' replacement, had barely finished the 2012 season before saying Freeman can expect competition for the job this season.
It's a snapshot that shows how important the decision is, not only for the quarterbacks but for the people who make the call.